Case Study: Largest Coffee Production Company reduces cold-weather crop losses with Meteomatics weather intelligence

How Changing Weather Patterns Created a Brazil Coffee Shortage Which Damages the Local Economy

The Largest Coffee Production Company faced severe production losses in the Varginha region of Minas Gerais after an unusually cold austral winter in 2021 produced multiple nighttime drops below the Arabica damage threshold, driving an estimated ~25% decline in yield and threatening longer‑term soil and economic damage. Meteomatics provided the company with high‑resolution weather analysis and seasonal ensemble forecasting (ECMWF‑based) to assess temperature anomalies, precipitation deficits and frost risk for the coming seasons.

Meteomatics delivered detailed temperature and precipitation analyses that quantified the ~25% productivity drop, highlighted two cold snaps under 5 °C, and produced high‑confidence ensemble forecasts showing continued colder‑and‑drier conditions and a non‑zero chance of overnight frosts. Those measurable outputs from Meteomatics — including ensemble spread metrics and seasonal outlooks — gave the Largest Coffee Production Company the data needed to quantify exposure and prioritize risk‑management and planning actions.