Case Study: a major U.S. physical gas shipper forecasts a 21% pipeline rate increase with Arbo

A ARBÖ Case Study

Preview of the Major U.S. Physical Gas Shipper Case Study

a major U.S. physical gas shipper predicts a 21% pipeline rate increase 6+ months early with ARBÖ

The customer, a major U.S. physical gas shipper, was subject to a potential 50% rate increase on a key pipeline and needed to quantify its risk exposure and predict the settlement date for critical contract decisions. Without the time or internal regulatory expertise to analyze historical data, the shipper engaged ARBÖ for its rate case analytics service to conduct a rapid risk assessment.

Using its proprietary dataset and regulatory expertise, ARBÖ performed a benchmarking analysis of historical rate cases. The vendor projected the case would settle for a 21% increase in early summer 2023. ARBÖ’s forecast was precisely accurate; the customer’s rate ultimately increased by exactly 21%, enabling informed contracting decisions more than six months in advance of the settlement.


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